The determine, which Sweden’s Public Well being Authority confirmed to CNN, is roughly just like different nations which have information and nicely beneath the 70-90% wanted to create “herd immunity” in a inhabitants.
It comes after the nation adopted a really totally different technique to cease the unfold of coronavirus to different nations by solely imposing very mild restrictions on day by day life.
Sweden’s chief epidemiologist Anders Tegnell mentioned the quantity was a “little decrease” than anticipated “however not remarkably decrease, perhaps one or a few p.c.”
“It squares fairly nicely with the fashions we’ve,” he added, whereas talking at a information convention in Stockholm.
The examine carried out by Sweden’s Public Well being Company goals to find out the potential herd immunity within the inhabitants, primarily based on 1,118 checks carried out in a single week. It goals to hold out the identical variety of checks each seven days over an eight-week interval. Outcomes from different areas can be launched later, a Public Well being Authority spokesperson mentioned.
Sweden has adopted a unique technique to different Nordic nations throughout the pandemic, selecting to keep away from a lockdown and maintain most colleges, eating places, salons and bars open. It did, nonetheless, ask individuals to chorus from making lengthy journeys, inserting an emphasis on private duty.
The technique was criticized by Swedish researchers early on, who mentioned that making an attempt to create herd immunity had low assist. However the authorities denied that attaining herd immunity was their aim.
Sweden’s proportion of individuals with antibodies is just not far off that of different nations that did implement lockdowns. In Spain, 5% of individuals had developed coronavirus antibodies by Might 14, in keeping with preliminary outcomes of an epidemiological examine by the federal government.
In accordance with Martin Kuba, an official Jihocesky area within the Czech Republic who spearheaded a randomly chosen mass testing for coronavirus among the many basic public and frontline staff, the preliminary outcomes confirmed that the proportion of people that have had the illness stood at “single digit p.c” slightly than “fraction of a p.c”.
Michael Osterholm, the director of the Middle for Infectious Illness Analysis and Coverage on the College of Minnesota, estimated earlier this month on CNN Tonight with Don Lemon that between 5% and 15% of individuals within the US have been contaminated.
He mentioned the coronavirus was going to flow into and infect at the very least 60% to 70% of the inhabitants earlier than it slows down, however warned that the nation had “a protracted methods to go” to get to a degree of herd immunity. A report he wrote together with different epidemiologists and a historian estimated this may probably take 18 to 24 months.
Dr. Mike Ryan, government director of the World Well being Group (WHO) Well being Emergencies Program, mentioned the idea of herd immunity was a “harmful calculation.”
When requested if he can be snug with immunity passports primarily based on his firm’s checks, CEO of Swiss drugmaker Roche Severin Schwan informed CNN’s Julia Chatterley: “I do imagine that we’re in a world with a variety of ambiguity, and we additionally need to make selections on incomplete data. So, I do suppose it’s invaluable data, however we should always not absolutely depend on it.”
On April 24,chief epidemiologist Tegnell informed BBC radio that the authorities believed Stockholm had “an immunity degree… someplace between 15 and 20% of the inhabitants.”
He mentioned the technique had “labored in some features … as a result of our well being system has been in a position to cope. There has at all times been at the very least 20% of the intensive care beds empty and in a position to deal with Covid-19 sufferers.”
Requested whether or not Sweden’s method will assist it stand up to a attainable second wave, Tegnell mentioned he believed it will.
“It’ll positively have an effect on the replica fee and decelerate the unfold,” he mentioned, however added that it would not be sufficient to attain “herd immunity.”
However Sweden’s overseas minister Ann Linde and Peter Lindgren, managing director on the Swedish Institute for Well being Economics (IHE), mentioned final month that it had failed to forestall a excessive variety of deaths in care properties.