Therefore Ward’s “Ought to we glance towards an #ElectoralCollege kind system on the state stage?” tweet. As a result of if, say, each county in a state obtained one electoral vote (simply as a for-instance) then, clearly, trying on the two maps above, the outcomes could be much more favorable to Republicans.
The issue with Ward’s argument is, effectively, it is dumb. Very dumb.
And it is dumb for a quite simple motive: These county-by-county maps — whether or not in a single state or nationally — are vastly deceptive. What they present is land, not inhabitants. So, if you see, say, a sparsely populated however giant — geographically talking — county in jap Kentucky coloured crimson and a small county with a serious metropolis in it coloured blue, your first response is likely to be: Hey, wait a minute — that crimson county is manner larger!
By that logic, in fact, Alaska could be a very powerful and highly effective state within the nation. It is tremendous large!
Appears fairly totally different, proper?
And, even when, say, we adopted Ward’s logic — considerably horrifying! — and tried to institute an electoral vote system within the Kentucky governor’s race, it is not a certainty (as she appears to suppose) that the end result could be totally different. See, electoral vote allocation is predicated on inhabitants! Which is why Alaska has three electoral votes and California has 55!
So, if we allotted electoral votes by county in Kentucky, then Jefferson (metropolis of Louisville) and Fayette (metropolis of Lexington) would have heaps extra electoral votes than the very rural and evenly populated counties within the western reaches of the state.
The truth that the Electoral Faculty is tied to inhabitants is why we’ve got had solely 5 situations in American presidential historical past through which the winner of the favored vote wasn’t additionally the winner of the electoral vote. It might sound extra frequent than that as a result of two of these 5 elections have come prior to now 2 a long time (2000 and 2016). However, previous to Al Gore’s common vote victory/electoral faculty loss in 2000, it has been 112 years because it final occurred. (I see you, Benjamin Harrison!)
It isn’t clear whether or not Ward is aware of that historical past and understands the distinction between individuals voting and land, uh, voting. What is evident, nonetheless, is that her sharing of the Virginia and Kentucky maps is deeply, deeply deceptive.